Over the past few months, media outlets have warned about a supposed nationwide crime wave. The New York Times published a front-page story that claimed "murder rates [are] rising sharply in many US cities." CNN, USA Today, and NPR ran similar stories.
A new report from the Brennan Center for Justice pushes back against these claims. Some cities are expected to see a dramatic increase in 2015 compared with 2014 — Baltimore's murder count is projected to go up by 51.7 percent this year. But many cities have seen decreases — Boston, for one, is expected to have a 32.1 percent drop in murders. And the increases in murders don't necessarily translate to overall rises in crime — New York City, for one, can expect a 7.2 percent uptick in murders this year but a 1.6 percent drop in overall crime rates. So the picture is much more mixed than claims of a nationwide trend suggest.